| Overall | 5W 14L 1T |
| District | 2W 4L 0T |
| Expected | 16: 2+ 2- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
49 12 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
870 -3 Strength Momentum |
989 43.1(51) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/24/15 | at Capital | 0.001 | 1241 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-3) | 708 | 12% |  |
| 08/26/15 | Santa Fe !! | 0.004 | 1162 | W 2- 1 | Better (+4) | 1056 | 20% | |
| 08/31/15 | Taos | 0.002 | 1288 | L 1- 9 | Expected (-4) | 659 | 12% | |
| 09/02/15 | at Los Alamos | 0.012 | 1257 | L 0- 3 | Expected (+1) | 923 | 11% | |
| 09/09/15 | St. Pius | 0.011 | 1010 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-6) | 574 | 34% | |
| 09/11/15 | Belen ! | 0.046 | 869 | W 4- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1010 | 52% | |
| 09/14/15 | at Robertson | 0.081 | 993 | T 2- 2 | Better (+1) | 941 | 32% | |
| 09/16/15 | Desert Academy | 0.096 | 627 | W 3- 1 | Expected (-1) | 839 | 80% | |
| 09/19/15 | at Monte del Sol | 0.144 | 918 | L 2- 3 | Expected (0) | 853 | 41% | |
| 09/22/15 | at Bosque | 0.045 | 1317 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-3) | 693 | 8% | |
| 09/24/15 | at Rehoboth Christian ?? | 0.140 | 694 | L 0- 5 | Worse (-7) | 539 | 70% | |
| 09/25/15 | at Hobbs | 0.189 | 1254 | L 1- 5 | Expected (0) | 871 | 11% | |
| 09/26/15 | at Artesia | 0.141 | 592 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+2) | 993 | 79% | |
| 09/29/15 | Hope Christian ? | 0.181 | 1009 | L 1- 6 | Expected (-4) | 678 | 33% | |
| 10/01/15 | Santa Fe Prep | 0.379 | 985 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 818 | 36% | |
| 10/03/15 | at Silver | 0.494 | 799 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-2) | 794 | 57% | |
| 10/09/15 | at Desert Academy | 0.529 | 627 | W 4- 1 | Expected (+1) | 908 | 77% | |
| 10/13/15 | at Santa Fe Prep | 0.818 | 985 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 887 | 32% | |
| 10/15/15 | Monte del Sol | 0.841 | 918 | L 2- 3 | Expected (-1) | 834 | 46% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Socorro | 0.916 | 1047 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+1) | 918 | 26% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals St. Michael's actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 989, while
St. Michael's's "weighted playing strength" is 855
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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